I've been watching China's ascent in cleantech for a couple of years. In that time China's potential to leapfrog the U.S. has gone from talk to substantive examples of leadership. Even
so, I've been surprised by the increasing frequency with which China is
pushing ahead in new fronts of cleantech development.
Earlier this week, the latest surprise came from energy secretary
Steven Chu, who's been talking up China's green progress in an effort to
boost Washington's resolve on clean tech policy.
In a talk at the National Press Club, with characteristic forceful clarity
(PDF of slides), Chu illuminated the growing list of sectors where
China's emerging leadership threatens U.S. players, and added leadership
in supercomputing as the most recent Sino-superlative. China's success
in these technologies represents a "Sputnik Moment" for the United
States, Chu said.
"When it comes to innovation, Americans don't take a back seat to
anyone -- and we certainly won't start now," said Secretary Chu at the
event. "From wind power to nuclear reactors to high-speed rail, China
and other countries are moving aggressively to capture the lead. Given
that challenge, and given the enormous economic opportunities in clean
energy, it's time for America to do what we do best: innovate."
China's ascent to the top of the list for supercomputing speed
reveals a new front in this race. Last month China's Tianhe-1A,
developed by Chinese defense researchers, became the world's fastest supercomputer,
with a performance level of 2.57 petaflop/s (quadrillions of
calculations per second, for all the geeks in our audience, based on a
standard test), substantially eclipsing the U.S. DOE's Cray XT5 "Jaguar"
system at Oak Ridge national labs in Tennessee, which runs at 1.75
petaflop/s. Third place is also held by a Chinese computer.
Supercomputers may seem long way from grid-competitive solar panels,
long-range electric car batteries, or other cleantech gizmos, but
advanced computational simulation is the keystone of most leading-edge
scientific research, including nuclear energy, nanotech and materials
science, proteomics and other advanced biotech applications. Basically,
any very advanced science these days needs big computing horsepower.
Leadership on the fastest-computer league tables has been traded off
many times, between U.S., Japanese and European computing centers. China
is a relative newcomer to the race, but is clearly the new elite.
Chu highlighted several crucial technologies -- mostly in the areas
of power generation and transportation -- where China is already
outpacing U.S. efforts, adding the U.S. must innovate or risk falling
far behind. The following is from the DOE:
• High Voltage Transmission. China has deployed the world's
first Ultra High Voltage AC and DC lines -- including one capable of
delivering 6.4 gigawatts to Shanghai from a hydroelectric plant nearly
1300 miles away in southwestern China. These lines are more efficient
and carry much more power over longer distances than those in the United
States.
• High-Speed Rail. In the span of six years, China has gone
from importing this technology to exporting it, with the world's fastest
train and the world's largest high-speed rail network, which will
become larger than the rest of the world combined by the end of the
decade. Some short distance plane routes have already been cancelled,
and train travel from Beijing to Shanghai (roughly equivalent to New
York to Chicago) has been cut from 11 hours to 4 hours.
• Advanced Coal Technologies. China is rapidly deploying
supercritical and ultra-supercritical coal combustion plants, which have
fewer emissions and are more efficient than conventional coal plants
because they burn coal at much higher temperatures and pressures. Last
month, Secretary Chu toured an ultra-supercritical plant in Shanghai
which claims to be 45 to 48 percent efficient. The most efficient U.S.
plants are about 40 percent efficient. China is also moving quickly to
design and deploy technologies for Integrated Gasification Combined
Cycle (IGCC) plants as well as Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS).
• Nuclear Power. China has more than 30 nuclear power plants
under construction, more than any other country in the world, and is
actively researching fourth generation nuclear power technologies.
• Alternative Energy Vehicles. China has developed a draft
plan to invest $17 billion in central government funds in fuel economy,
hybrids, plug-in hybrids, electric and fuel cell vehicles, with the goal
of producing 5 million new energy vehicles and 15 million
fuel-efficient conventional vehicles by 2020.
• Renewable Energy. China is installing wind power at a faster
rate than any nation in the world, and manufactures 40 percent of the
world's solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. It is home to three of the
world's top ten wind turbine manufacturers and five of the top ten
silicon-based PV manufacturers in the world.
• Supercomputing. Last month, the Tianhe-1A, developed by
China's National University of Defense Technology, became the world's
fastest supercomputer. While the United States -- and the Department of
Energy in particular -- still has unrivalled expertise in the useful
application of high performance computers to advance scientific research
and develop technology, America must continue to improve the speed and
capacity of our advanced supercomputers.
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Technologies Where China Has the U.S. Beat
Topic: China Technology